In 2024, Canada posted a total fertility rate of 1.25 children per woman, a historic low. This was down 0.02 from the previous year—also a historic low at the time. Canada is now considered among the ‘lowest-low’ fertility countries of the world.
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Canadian fertility desires have changed little since the previous survey in 2022. Women had an ideal family size of 2.01 children in 2022 and 1.97 in 2025—a statistically insignificant change. Women’s intended family sizes were also quite stable, at 1.56 in 2022 and 1.54 in 2025. As our 2022 cycle did not survey men, we observe that an IPSOS Global Advisor Survey in 2022 suggested that men had fertility ideals of 2.11 children. Our 2025 survey found an average ideal family size of 2.13 children for men, but actual intended fertility at 1.70 children. Men desire slightly larger families than women in Canada, as demonstrated across the recent surveys.
Source: https://www.cardus.ca/research/family/reports/home-alone/
This report is focused on Canada but birth rates across the Western world are historically low, so the findings are of interest almost everywhere.
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